Darrell Henderson Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Darrell Henderson

NFL · Player Props

Darrell Henderson

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Rushing TD

Los Angeles Rams vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Darrell Henderson Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+323/-597).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +334 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +323.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Rams are a 5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys defensive tackles rank as the 5th-worst group of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in football). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

Opposing teams have rushed for the least touchdowns in the league (0.25 per game) versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
The Los Angeles Rams have risked going for it on 4th down a measly 14.7% of the time since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

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