Darrell Henderson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Darrell Henderson

NFL · Player Props

Darrell Henderson

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Darrell Henderson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -146 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Rams are predicted by the projections to call 65.7 total plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
The Rams have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 60.0 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 8th-most in football.
Darrell Henderson has run a route on 47.9% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 84th percentile among running backs.
In this week's contest, Darrell Henderson is forecasted by the projection model to slot into the 75th percentile when it comes to RBs with 2.7 targets.

Favors Under

The Rams offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
This year, the imposing Seahawks defense has given up a feeble 78.7% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 10th-lowest rate in the NFL.
The Seahawks linebackers project as the 5th-best LB corps in football this year when it comes to pass rush.

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