Darrell Henderson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Darrell Henderson

NFL · Player Props

Darrell Henderson

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Darrell Henderson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-156/+122).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 5th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
Darrell Henderson's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Completion% jumping from 69.6% to 88.5%.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Darrell Henderson's 9.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 15.8.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The Dallas Cowboys safeties project as the 6th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Dallas Cowboys pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.

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