Darrell Henderson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+160).
Key Factors
Favors Over
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 64.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Darrell Henderson has run a route on 61.6% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 97th percentile among running backs.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Darrell Henderson's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Completion% jumping from 69.6% to 100.0%.
Favors Under
The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-slowest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 28.46 seconds per play.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the NFL.
The Arizona Cardinals safeties profile as the 10th-best group of safeties in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-fastest in football since the start of last season.