Darrell Henderson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Darrell Henderson

NFL · Player Props

Darrell Henderson

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Darrell Henderson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-134/+101).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 5th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 65.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Darrell Henderson has run a route on 55.3% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking in the 88th percentile among running backs.
Darrell Henderson's sure-handedness have been refined this year, with his Completion% rising from 69.6% to 79.3%.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line has allowed their QB 2.59 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 7th-least in the NFL.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack stats across the board.
The New Orleans Saints pass defense has yielded the 6th-lowest Completion% in the league (73.3%) vs. RBs this year (73.3%).
The New Orleans Saints linebackers project as the 4th-best LB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

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