Darrell Henderson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Darrell Henderson

NFL · Player Props

Darrell Henderson

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Darrell Henderson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Rams will be rolling with backup quarterback Brett Rypien in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Rams, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The 9th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Rams this year (a colossal 60.9 per game on average).
With a remarkable 48.1% Route Participation Rate (85th percentile) since the start of last season, Darrell Henderson has been as one of the RB receiving threats with the most usage in football.
Darrell Henderson's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 78.4% to 83.3%.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Rams are forecasted by the model to run only 62.5 total plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
When you add up his team's air yards this year, Darrell Henderson only accounts for a feeble -5.0%, placing him in the 8th percentile when it comes to running backs.
The Rams offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

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