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Darrell Henderson

Darrell Henderson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Darrell Henderson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 5th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 65.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Darrell Henderson has run a route on 55.3% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking in the 88th percentile among running backs.
  • Darrell Henderson has put up a colossal 3.0 air yards per game this year: 84th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Darrell Henderson's sure-handedness have been refined this year, with his Completion% rising from 69.6% to 79.3%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 7th-least in the NFL.
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack stats across the board.
  • Darrell Henderson has been among the least effective pass-catchers in the league among RBs, averaging a lowly 4.88 yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 21st percentile.
  • The New Orleans Saints defense has given up the 7th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 29.0) versus running backs this year.

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