Darrell Henderson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Darrell Henderson

NFL · Player Props

Darrell Henderson

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Carries

Los Angeles Rams vs Carolina Panthers · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Darrell Henderson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+110/-151).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -151.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Rams are a heavy 10-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Darrell Henderson to total 13.8 carries in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
THE BLITZ projects Darrell Henderson to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (54.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (36.0% in games he has played).
The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in football). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat accumulation.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 6th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 37.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 28.74 seconds per play.
The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for rushers.
The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles project as the 3rd-best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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