Darrell Henderson Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Darrell Henderson

NFL · Player Props

Darrell Henderson

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Carries

Los Angeles Rams vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Darrell Henderson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Rams are a 5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys defensive tackles rank as the 5th-worst group of DTs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in football). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 4th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 36.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Darrell Henderson has been a much smaller piece of his team's rushing attack this season (43.7% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (57.1%).
The Los Angeles Rams have risked going for it on 4th down a measly 14.7% of the time since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

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