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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Atlanta Falcons vs New York Giants

Darnell Mooney Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Atlanta Falcons offense has played at the 8th-quickest pace in football (context-neutralized) this year, averaging 27.94 seconds per play.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Darnell Mooney's 54.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 35.4.

Darnell Mooney's play as a receiver has improved this season, averaging 4.0 adjusted receptions compared to a measly 2.2 last season.

Darnell Mooney's sure-handedness have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 57.0% to 62.1%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Falcons being a huge 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

The projections expect the Falcons as the 4th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 49.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Giants, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.1 per game) this year.

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