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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Las Vegas Raiders vs Atlanta Falcons

Darnell Mooney Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Atlanta Falcons have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 58.8 plays per game.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.

In this week's game, Darnell Mooney is expected by the model to place in the 79th percentile among wideouts with 6.9 targets.

Darnell Mooney's 56.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 35.4.

Darnell Mooney's play as a receiver has gotten a boost this year, averaging 4.3 adjusted catches vs a mere 2.2 last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Falcons being a 6-point favorite in this game.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to pass on 55.1% of their plays: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Falcons to call the 10th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

More Darnell Mooney Player Props

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