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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Darnell Mooney Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+126/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +126.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons as the 7th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 59.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.18 seconds per snap.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Darnell Mooney has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (96.9% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (86.9%).
  • In this contest, Darnell Mooney is projected by the model to position himself in the 83rd percentile among wideouts with 7.8 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • When talking about protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Falcons grades out as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • The Los Angeles cornerbacks project as the 8th-best CB corps in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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