My Account Log Out

reorder

Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

Darnell Mooney Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see 134.3 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense this year: 6th-most in football.

The projections expect Darnell Mooney to garner 7.6 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 87th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Darnell Mooney's 57.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 35.4.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Falcons are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.

At the present time, the 9th-least pass-focused team in the league (58.9% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Atlanta Falcons.

The Atlanta Falcons have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 55.8 plays per game.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Falcons profiles as the 8th-worst in football this year.

This year, the formidable Saints defense has allowed a mere 62.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 10th-best rate in the league.

More Darnell Mooney Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™