Darnell Mooney Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Darnell Mooney

NFL · Player Props

Darnell Mooney

WR · Chicago Bears

Receptions

New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Darnell Mooney Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a heavy 9.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Bears as the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projections to call only 63.9 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.
Darnell Mooney's 79.3% Route Participation% this season reflects a noteable decrease in his pass game usage over last season's 92.8% mark.
When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
Darnell Mooney's 2.1 adjusted receptions per game this year indicates a substantial decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 3.7 figure.

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