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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Chicago Bears vs Denver Broncos

Darnell Mooney Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

The model projects Darnell Mooney to be a much bigger part of his team's passing game this week (16.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (10.1% in games he has played).

The Broncos cornerbacks profile as the worst group of CBs in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Chicago Bears as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 50.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The model projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 121.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Bears have called the fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 52.9 plays per game.

More Darnell Mooney Player Props

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