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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Falcons are projected by the projection model to run 64.2 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-most on the slate this week.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
  • Darnell Mooney has gone out for fewer passes this year (97.9% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (86.9%).
  • The predictive model expects Darnell Mooney to accrue 6.9 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 80th percentile when it comes to WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Falcons, who are favored by 3 points.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 50.2 plays per game.
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Falcons ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has displayed good efficiency against wideouts this year, giving up 5.92 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in football.
  • The Buccaneers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, allowing an average of 2.87 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in the league.

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