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Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (+105/-140).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ +105.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The model projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.23 seconds per play.The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.With a remarkable 88.9% Route Participation% (84th percentile) since the start of last season, Darnell Mooney stands as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume in the league.The leading projections forecast Darnell Mooney to earn 6.9 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 81st percentile when it comes to wideouts.When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Atlanta Falcons ranks as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 4-point advantage, the Falcons are favored in this game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 55.7% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest clip on the slate this week.The New Orleans Saints pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (59.4%) versus WRs since the start of last season (59.4%).The New Orleans Saints pass defense has exhibited good efficiency vs. wideouts since the start of last season, giving up 7.62 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 8th-fewest in football.As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, New Orleans's unit has been tremendous since the start of last season, grading out as the 6th-best in the league.
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