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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 53.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line indicates a throwing game script for the Falcons, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

Darnell Mooney has compiled quite a few more air yards this season (74.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).

Darnell Mooney's 55.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 35.4.

Darnell Mooney's 60.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season marks a noteworthy gain in his receiving talent over last season's 29.0 figure.

Darnell Mooney's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 57.0% to 63.1%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Falcons to pass on 51.1% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Falcons are projected by our trusted projection set to run just 63.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Washington Commanders, averaging the 3rd-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.5 per game) this year.

This year, the formidable Commanders pass defense has allowed the least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing WRs: a meager 3.3 YAC.

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