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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.0 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may go down.

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.

Darnell Mooney has been less involved as a potential target this season (96.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (86.9%).

In this week's game, Darnell Mooney is expected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 85th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.8 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 58.6% pass rate.

The Atlanta Falcons offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

The Denver Broncos defense has conceded the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 134.0) to WRs this year.

The Broncos pass defense has excelled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.10 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Denver's group of safeties has been great this year, ranking as the 5th-best in football.

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