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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At only 26.79 seconds per play, the Atlanta Falcons offense is positioned as the 3rd-fastest paced in football (in a neutral context) last year.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

With an extraordinary 86.9% Route% (80th percentile) last year, Darnell Mooney stands among the wideouts with the most usage in the NFL.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons ranks as the 4th-best in football last year.

Last year, the shaky Steelers defense has allowed the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a whopping 8.91 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game against the Steelers defense last year: 9th-fewest in the NFL.

Darnell Mooney has been one of the worst possession receivers in football, completing just 57.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, grading out in the 12th percentile among wideouts

Darnell Mooney comes in as one of the least effective receivers in football, averaging a lowly 7.39 adjusted yards-per-target last year while checking in at the 23rd percentile when it comes to wideouts

The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has conceded the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62%) to wide receivers last year (62.0%).

The Steelers linebackers project as the 9th-best unit in football last year in defending receivers.

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