Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Darnell Mooney

NFL · Player Props

Darnell Mooney

WR · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 3:56 AM EST

Analysis

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a heavy 9.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Bears as the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by the projections to call only 63.9 plays on offense in this game: the 9th-lowest number among all teams this week.
Darnell Mooney's 79.3% Route Participation% this season reflects a noteable decrease in his pass game usage over last season's 92.8% mark.
After accumulating 68.0 air yards per game last season, Darnell Mooney has significantly declined this season, now boasting 39.0 per game.
When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the significance it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.

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