Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Darnell Mooney

NFL · Player Props

Darnell Mooney

WR · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Chicago Bears · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 30, 2023 12:17 AM UTC

Analysis

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chicago Bears may take to the air less in this contest (and call more carries) as a result of being be rolling with backup quarterback Tyson Bagent.
The Bears are a heavy 8.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 5th-most in football.
This year, the weak Chargers defense has been gouged for a monstrous 218.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the most in the NFL.
This year, the deficient Chargers defense has been torched for the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing WRs: a massive 10.04 yards.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Chicago Bears to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
At the moment, the 5th-slowest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Bears.
Darnell Mooney's 78.0% Route Participation% this year indicates a noteworthy decrease in his air attack usage over last year's 92.8% figure.
Darnell Mooney has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (34.0 per game) than he did last season (68.0 per game).
Darnell Mooney has compiled significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (31.0) this year than he did last year (43.0).

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