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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs this week, implying more of an emphasis on throwing than their standard game plan.

The Vikings defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (37.0 per game) this year.

Darnell Mooney has been among the top wide receivers in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging an impressive 6.56 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 97th percentile.

This year, the shaky Vikings defense has yielded a massive 189.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing WRs: the 8th-worst in the league.

The Vikings pass defense has given up the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.4%) versus wideouts this year (78.4%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Chicago Bears to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 49.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears offense to be the 9th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 28.72 seconds per snap.

Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being called for in this game) generally prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and higher ground volume.

Darnell Mooney has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (73.6% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (92.8%).

After averaging 68.0 air yards per game last season, Darnell Mooney has produced significantly less this season, currently pacing 40.0 per game.

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