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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a 6-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • While Darnell Mooney has accounted for 10.7% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more integral piece of Chicago's passing offense in this game at 16.0%.
  • Darnell Mooney's 9.5 adjusted yards per target this year conveys a an impressive progression in his pass-catching skills over last year's 8.2 figure.
  • With a fantastic 6.56 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Darnell Mooney rates among the top wide receivers in the league in the NFL in space.
  • The Washington Commanders defense has surrendered the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (192.0) versus wide receivers this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears as the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect the Bears to run the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Bears have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 55.8 plays per game.
  • Darnell Mooney has totaled far fewer air yards this year (30.0 per game) than he did last year (68.0 per game).
  • Darnell Mooney's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 69.8% to 65.2%.

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