Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Darnell Mooney

NFL · Player Props

Darnell Mooney

WR · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the league.
Darnell Mooney has accrued a monstrous 68.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 80th percentile among wideouts.
Darnell Mooney has been among the best wide receivers in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a stellar 6.59 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 96th percentile.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties rank as the 2nd-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 48.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bears to call the 9th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Chicago Bears have run the least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 53.6 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Darnell Mooney to be a much smaller part of his offense's air attack this week (20.2% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (26.6% in games he has played).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (63.0%).

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