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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the league.
  • Darnell Mooney has accrued a monstrous 68.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 80th percentile among wideouts.
  • Darnell Mooney has been among the best wide receivers in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a stellar 6.59 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 96th percentile.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties rank as the 2nd-worst collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 48.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bears to call the 9th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Chicago Bears have run the least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 53.6 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Darnell Mooney to be a much smaller part of his offense's air attack this week (20.2% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (26.6% in games he has played).
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (63.0%).

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