Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Darnell Mooney

NFL · Player Props

Darnell Mooney

WR · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 24, 2022 11:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-103/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a giant 8.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Darnell Mooney to notch 7.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile among wide receivers.
Darnell Mooney's 72.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 62.2.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 4.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 49.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bears to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Chicago Bears have called the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.0 plays per game.
Darnell Mooney has compiled far fewer air yards this season (76.0 per game) than he did last season (88.0 per game).

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