Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

reorder

NFL · Player Props

Darnell Mooney

WR · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 11:25 PM UTC

Analysis

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a big 10-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Darnell Mooney has run a route on 93.1% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.
THE BLITZ projects Darnell Mooney to earn 7.2 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among wideouts.
Darnell Mooney has notched a whopping 85.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 89th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bears will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bears to call the 3rd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 59.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Darnell Mooney has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in football, averaging just 7.47 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 23rd percentile among wideouts
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Completion% in football (60.2%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (60.2%).