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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

New York Jets vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-111/-116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chicago Bears will be starting backup quarterback Trevor Siemian in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Bears are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Darnell Mooney to accrue 7.0 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 78th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Darnell Mooney has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 27.8% this year, which puts him in the 96th percentile among WRs.
  • Darnell Mooney's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% rising from 59.7% to 70.4%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 9.8% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 46.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bears to run the 6th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Chicago Bears have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 55.6 plays per game.
  • Darnell Mooney has put up far fewer air yards this year (68.0 per game) than he did last year (88.0 per game).

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