Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Darnell Mooney

NFL · Player Props

Darnell Mooney

WR · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Chicago Bears · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-111/-116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chicago Bears will be starting backup quarterback Trevor Siemian in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Bears are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Darnell Mooney to accrue 7.0 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 78th percentile among wide receivers.
Darnell Mooney has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, earning a Target Share of 27.8% this year, which puts him in the 96th percentile among WRs.
Darnell Mooney's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% rising from 59.7% to 70.4%.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 9.8% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 46.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bears to run the 6th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Chicago Bears have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 55.6 plays per game.
Darnell Mooney has put up far fewer air yards this year (68.0 per game) than he did last year (88.0 per game).

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