Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Darnell Mooney

WR · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Darnell Mooney Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 57.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 47.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
Darnell Mooney has run a route on 93.0% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects Darnell Mooney to garner 7.6 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.
Darnell Mooney has accrued a colossal 88.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 88th percentile among WRs.
Darnell Mooney has been among the leading pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 59.0 yards per game while checking in at the 83rd percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bears to run the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in football.
Darnell Mooney has been among the most unreliable receivers in the league, completing just 59.7% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 18th percentile among WRs
The Chicago Bears have faced a stacked the box on a measly 14.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.