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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 7

New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears

Darnell Mooney Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+296/-522).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +318 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +296.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a giant 8.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.

Darnell Mooney has been a key part of his team's offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 18.2% this year, which places him in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.

Darnell Mooney's 72.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 62.2.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Bears to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 61.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Chicago Bears have called the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.0 plays per game.

Darnell Mooney has compiled far fewer air yards this season (76.0 per game) than he did last season (88.0 per game).

The Chicago Bears O-line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Darnell Mooney's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 59.7% to 56.5%.

More Darnell Mooney Player Props

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