My Account Log Out

reorder

Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

New York Jets vs Chicago Bears

Darnell Mooney Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+319/-587).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -437 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -587.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

Darnell Mooney has been a key part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 20.0% this year, which puts him in the 82nd percentile among WRs.

Darnell Mooney's 68.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in football: 94th percentile for wide receivers.

Darnell Mooney's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% rising from 59.7% to 70.4%.

The Chicago Bears O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.51 seconds before getting pressured (10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Bears to run the 6th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Chicago Bears have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 55.6 plays per game.

Darnell Mooney has put up far fewer air yards this year (68.0 per game) than he did last year (88.0 per game).

The New York Jets pass defense has conceded the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the league (61.1%) versus WRs this year (61.1%).

The New York Jets cornerbacks profile as the best CB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

More Darnell Mooney Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™