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Darnell Mooney

Darnell Mooney Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 11

Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears

Darnell Mooney Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+250/-350).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

Darnell Mooney has been a key part of his team's pass game near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 23.1% this year, which puts him in the 86th percentile among wideouts.

Darnell Mooney's 67.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 91st percentile for wideouts.

Darnell Mooney's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Completion% increasing from 59.7% to 69.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Chicago Bears have run the 5th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.1 plays per game.

Darnell Mooney has posted far fewer air yards this year (67.0 per game) than he did last year (88.0 per game).

The Atlanta Falcons defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season.

The Chicago Bears have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 14.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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