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Darius Slayton

Darius Slayton Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

New York Giants vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Darius Slayton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Giants will be starting backup quarterback Tommy DeVito this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Giants are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Giants this year (a whopping 61.2 per game on average).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (39.0 per game) this year.

Darius Slayton's 50.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this season than it was last season at 41.8.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 53.6% of their plays: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The model projects this game to have the 2nd-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 126.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being forecasted in this game) generally prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and higher run volume.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Tampa Bay's CB corps has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

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