Darius Slayton Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Darius Slayton

NFL · Player Props

Darius Slayton

WR · New York Giants

Receptions

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Darius Slayton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+155/-205).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on passing than their normal game plan.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Giants are expected by our trusted projection set to call 66.7 total plays in this contest: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Darius Slayton has been less involved as a potential target this season (79.3% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (66.8%).

Favors Under

With a 58.6% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 7th-least pass-centric offense in football has been the New York Giants.
Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Saints, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 34.4 per game) this year.
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the worst in the league this year.
Darius Slayton's 2.5 adjusted receptions per game this season conveys a significant reduction in his pass-catching skills over last season's 3.5 rate.
This year, the tough Saints defense has yielded a puny 58.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 4th-lowest rate in the league.

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