Darius Slayton Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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NFL · Player Props

Darius Slayton

WR · New York Giants

Receptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Giants · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 4:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Darius Slayton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-102/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 10th-fastest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.91 seconds per play.
Darius Slayton's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% increasing from 46.0% to 68.5%.
The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties project as the 7th-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box against opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Darius Slayton has run fewer routes this season (39.4% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (70.2%).
The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
The New York Giants O-line has afforded their QB just 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.