Darius Slayton Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Darius Slayton

NFL · Player Props

Darius Slayton

WR · New York Giants

Receptions

New York Giants vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Darius Slayton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +107 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 2nd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Darius Slayton to accrue 7.4 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 80th percentile among wide receivers.
Darius Slayton's 50.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 37.2.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has surrendered the lowest Completion% in football (58.3%) versus wideouts this year (58.3%).
The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks project as the 2nd-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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