Darius Slayton Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Darius Slayton

NFL · Player Props

Darius Slayton

WR · New York Giants

Receptions

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Darius Slayton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.1 plays per game.
Darius Slayton's 46.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 37.2.
Darius Slayton's pass-catching performance been refined this season, totaling 3.4 yards per game compared to just 1.9 last season.
Darius Slayton's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Completion% jumping from 46.0% to 63.1%.
The New York Giants have incorporated play action on 28.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (10th-most in football), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 6th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: 4th-least in the league.
The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Washington Commanders safeties project as the best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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