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Darius Slayton

Darius Slayton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New York Giants vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Darius Slayton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Giants will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Drew Lock this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • An extreme passing game script is implied by the Giants being a massive -7.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Giants to pass on 59.8% of their opportunities: the 7th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 134.4 total plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week.
  • The 8th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Giants this year (a staggering 59.9 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New York O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • Darius Slayton's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 64.9% to 57.5%.
  • Darius Slayton's 7.9 adjusted yards per target this year signifies a meaningful drop-off in his receiving skills over last year's 8.9 mark.
  • Darius Slayton's 2.76 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a significant drop-off in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 6.0% rate.
  • The Indianapolis Colts cornerbacks grade out as the 4th-best CB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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