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Darius Slayton

Darius Slayton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Atlanta Falcons vs New York Giants

Darius Slayton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Giants will be forced to start backup QB Drew Lock in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Giants are a heavy 9.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Giants to be the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The New York Giants have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.5 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New York Giants are anticipated by the predictive model to run only 64.7 total plays in this contest: the 10th-fewest on the slate this week.

The New York Giants offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

Darius Slayton's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 64.9% to 57.7%.

Darius Slayton's 7.8 adjusted yards per target this year shows a significant regression in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 8.9 figure.

Darius Slayton's 2.51 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents an impressive drop-off in his efficiency in space over last year's 6.0% rate.

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