Darius Slayton Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

NFL · Player Props

Darius Slayton

WR · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 2, 2023 11:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Darius Slayton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically prompt better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
Darius Slayton has been less involved as a potential target this year (77.6% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (66.8%).
Darius Slayton ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to wide receivers since the start of last season with a staggering 31.0% of his offense's air yards accumulated.
Darius Slayton has been among the best wide receivers in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a terrific 5.09 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 76th percentile.
The Seahawks safeties profile as the worst safety corps in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New York Giants to pass on 56.3% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The projections expect this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Giants offensive line ranks as the worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Darius Slayton's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 65.5% to 54.9%.
Darius Slayton's pass-catching effectiveness has tailed off this season, averaging a mere 6.81 yards-per-target compared to a 9.47 rate last season.