Darius Slayton Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Darius Slayton

NFL · Player Props

Darius Slayton

WR · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Darius Slayton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on passing than their normal game plan.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Giants are expected by our trusted projection set to call 66.7 total plays in this contest: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Darius Slayton has been less involved as a potential target this season (79.3% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (66.8%).

Favors Under

With a 58.6% rate of throwing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 7th-least pass-centric offense in football has been the New York Giants.
Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Saints, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 34.4 per game) this year.
Darius Slayton has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (46.0 per game) than he did last season (55.0 per game).
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the New York Giants profiles as the worst in the league this year.
Darius Slayton has compiled a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (34.0) this year than he did last year (51.0).

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