Darius Slayton Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Darius Slayton

NFL · Player Props

Darius Slayton

WR · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Darius Slayton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-103/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Giants being an enormous -7.5-point underdog this week.
The projections expect the New York Giants to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Giants have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 60.7 plays per game.
The Commanders defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (40.1 per game) this year.
Darius Slayton has gone out for fewer passes this season (82.0% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (66.8%).

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.7% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The New York Giants offensive line ranks as the worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Darius Slayton has accumulated a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (34.0) this season than he did last season (51.0).
Darius Slayton's 60.8% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a material decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 65.5% figure.
Darius Slayton's 8.1 adjusted yards per target this year conveys a material decline in his receiving ability over last year's 9.5 mark.

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