Darius Slayton Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Darius Slayton

NFL · Player Props

Darius Slayton

WR · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 9:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Darius Slayton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Giants being a big -17.5-point underdog in this week's game.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to pass on 60.4% of their chances: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects the Giants to be the 8th-quickest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.58 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Darius Slayton's 82.9% Route Participation Rate this season signifies a significant progression in his passing attack workload over last season's 66.8% figure.

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game against the Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Giants ranks as the worst in the NFL this year.
Darius Slayton's 34.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season shows a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last season's 51.0 mark.
Darius Slayton's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 65.5% to 58.4%.
Darius Slayton's pass-catching effectiveness has declined this year, compiling just 8.14 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 9.47 rate last year.

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