Darius Slayton Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Darius Slayton

NFL · Player Props

Darius Slayton

WR · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Giants · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 4:56 PM EST

Analysis

Darius Slayton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+105/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 10th-fastest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.91 seconds per play.
Darius Slayton's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% increasing from 46.0% to 68.5%.
Darius Slayton's pass-catching effectiveness has been refined this year, averaging 10.49 yards-per-target compared to a measly 6.04 figure last year.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has struggled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.99 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-most in football.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Darius Slayton has run fewer routes this season (39.4% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (70.2%).
Darius Slayton has accrued far fewer air yards this year (33.0 per game) than he did last year (57.0 per game).
The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

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