Darius Slayton Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Darius Slayton

NFL · Player Props

Darius Slayton

WR · New York Giants

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 5:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Darius Slayton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (+100/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 46.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 9th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Darius Slayton to accrue 6.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 75th percentile among wide receivers.
Darius Slayton has received a colossal 33.2% of his offense's air yards this year: 91st percentile among WRs.
Darius Slayton's 49.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 37.2.
Darius Slayton has accumulated quite a few more receiving yards per game (54.0) this season than he did last season (25.0).

Favors Under

The Giants are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 52.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 7th-least in the league.
The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has allowed the 7th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 138.0) versus wideouts this year.

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