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Darius Slayton

Darius Slayton Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 5

Green Bay Packers vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Darius Slayton Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+415/-911).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +428 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +415.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Giants are a big 9.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 63.5 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Darius Slayton to be a more integral piece of his team's pass attack near the goal line this week (12.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
  • Darius Slayton has been responsible for a monstrous 22.6% of his team's air yards since the start of last season: 77th percentile among wide receivers.
  • The Green Bay Packers pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
  • The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Darius Slayton has been among the worst possession receivers in the league, completing a mere 46.0% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 1st percentile among WRs

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