Darius Slayton Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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NFL · Player Props

Darius Slayton

WR · New York Giants

Receiving TD

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Darius Slayton Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+256/-420).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +285 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +256.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.1 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Darius Slayton to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing attack near the end zone this week (18.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (12.0% in games he has played).
Darius Slayton has received a colossal 31.3% of his offense's air yards this year: 90th percentile among wide receivers.
Darius Slayton's 46.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 37.2.
Darius Slayton's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Completion% jumping from 46.0% to 63.1%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: 4th-least in the league.
The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Washington Commanders safeties project as the best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.
The New York Giants O-line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.