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Darius Slayton

Darius Slayton Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 13

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Darius Slayton Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+256/-420).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +285 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +256.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.1 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Darius Slayton to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing attack near the end zone this week (18.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (12.0% in games he has played).
  • Darius Slayton has received a colossal 31.3% of his offense's air yards this year: 90th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Darius Slayton's 46.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 37.2.
  • Darius Slayton's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Completion% jumping from 46.0% to 63.1%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: 4th-least in the league.
  • The New York Giants offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • The Washington Commanders safeties project as the best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.
  • The New York Giants O-line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

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