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Dante Pettis

Dante Pettis Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Dante Pettis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Dante Pettis to be much more involved in his team's air attack this week (15.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (9.0% in games he has played).
  • The Chicago Bears O-line has afforded their QB 2.51 seconds before getting pressured (10th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The Chicago Bears have gone for it on 4th down 27.3% of the time since the start of last season (3rd-most in football), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 7.5% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 43.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears offense as the 6th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.42 seconds per play.
  • The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 9th-least in football.

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