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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones TD Passes
Player Prop Week 1

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys

Daniel Jones TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+133/-184).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +165 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +133.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Giants are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Giants to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New York Giants have called the 10th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.6 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 5th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 51.4% red zone pass rate.

The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

Daniel Jones has been among the weakest TD passers in football since the start of last season, averaging a miserable 0.94 per game while ranking in the 19th percentile.

The Dallas Cowboys linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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