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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones TD Passes
Player Prop Week 13

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Daniel Jones TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+195/-305).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 60.1 plays per game.
  • The Washington Commanders defense has conceded the 9th-most passing touchdowns in football: 1.58 per game this year.
  • The New York Giants have incorporated play action on 28.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (10th-most in football), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.
  • The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in football). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 6th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 50.2% red zone pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to attempt 30.3 passes in this contest, on average: the 5th-least of all QBs.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense this year: 4th-least in the league.

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